In 2025, China’s video‑game market crossed the $50 billion threshold for the first time, posting a year‑on‑year increase of 5.4% and reaching an estimated $51.8 billion in revenue. This milestone reflects the continued resilience of the country’s gaming ecosystem despite regulatory headwinds and shifting consumer habits. According to a fresh analysis released by market‑research firm Niko Partners, the upward trajectory is set to persist, with the sector projected to grow another 4% in 2026, pushing total earnings to roughly $53.9 billion.

By the close of the decade, the firm anticipates the market will expand to $59.8 billion, which translates into a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 2.9% over the five‑year span. Player numbers are expected to follow a similar pattern of expansion. Niko Partners estimates that China’s active gaming population will climb to 769 million users by 2030, up from the current base of around 720 million. In addition to sheer headcount, the average weekly playtime per gamer is forecast to rise from 14.1 hours in 2024 to 15.8 hours in 2030, indicating deeper engagement and longer session lengths across mobile, PC, and console platforms.

The research attributes this robust growth to a combination of strong performance from newly launched titles and the enduring popularity of legacy evergreen games that continue to generate substantial revenue streams. In particular, the rise of mini‑games has emerged as a pivotal driver. Roughly 80% of Chinese gamers report playing mini‑games, and this segment now accounts for almost one‑fifth of all mobile‑gaming spend, underscoring its importance as a high‑growth niche. Discovery channels are also evolving.

Nearly half of all players now turn to short‑form video platforms—such as Douyin, Kuaishou, and Bilibili—to learn about new releases, watch gameplay clips, and gather community insights. These platforms have become critical marketing vectors, allowing developers to reach audiences quickly and organically.

Despite the market’s vigor, a substantial portion of the player base still navigates around China’s internet censorship regime. The report finds that 66% of respondents employ some form of circumvention tool. Of those, 30.8% connect to overseas servers, 33.6% rely on gaming accelerators that route traffic through less‑restricted networks, and 21.9% use virtual private networks (VPNs) to mask their location and access content that would otherwise be blocked. Policy developments are also shaping the landscape.

Earlier in the year, the Chinese government incorporated video games into its 15th Five‑Year Plan (2026‑2030) for National Economic and Social Development, elevating games from a peripheral cultural product to a recognized component of the digital economy. This official endorsement signals a potential softening of regulatory pressure and suggests that future policy may focus more on industry support and standardisation rather than outright restriction. Niko Partners highlights five overarching trends that will define the Chinese gaming market through 2030: 1.

**Growth in niche genres** – titles that cater to specific interests, such as simulation, strategy, and educational games, are gaining traction among increasingly sophisticated players. 2.

**Rise of out‑of‑app monetisation** – developers are exploring revenue models that extend beyond the traditional app‑store ecosystem, including cross‑platform subscriptions, cloud‑gaming bundles, and in‑game marketplaces that operate on external platforms. 3.

**Regulatory improvements** – clearer guidelines and a more predictable approval process are expected as authorities seek to balance cultural concerns with economic ambitions. 4. **Higher consumer spending on premium PC and console experiences** – as disposable income rises, gamers are allocating more budget to high‑end hardware and premium titles, driving a modest but steady shift away from purely mobile‑first consumption.

5. **Integration of generative AI** – Chinese studios are rapidly adopting AI tools throughout development pipelines, from procedural content generation and automated testing to AI‑driven NPC behaviour and player‑facing features such as real‑time translation and dynamic storytelling. The AI wave is not limited to development efficiency; it is also fueling a broader boom in user‑generated content platforms. Creators are leveraging generative models to produce custom skins, levels, and even entire game concepts, thereby enriching the ecosystem with fresh, community‑driven experiences.

This surge in AI‑enabled creativity is creating new revenue opportunities for both developers and platform operators. Infrastructure demand is another side effect of the AI expansion. The need for more powerful graphics processing units (GPUs), high‑speed memory (RAM), and advanced semiconductor components is intensifying, prompting local chip manufacturers to accelerate their R&D and production capacities. Despite these opportunities, Niko Partners cautions that sustainable growth will depend on three core pillars: ongoing innovation, regulatory clarity, and strong player engagement.

Continuous investment in novel gameplay mechanics, immersive technologies such as virtual and augmented reality, and robust community management will be essential to keep the market vibrant. At the same time, a transparent and consistent regulatory environment will help developers plan long‑term strategies without fearing sudden bans or abrupt policy shifts. Finally, maintaining high levels of player satisfaction—through quality content, fair monetisation practices, and responsive support—will ensure that the massive Chinese gamer base remains loyal and willing to spend. In summary, China’s gaming sector has entered a new era of scale and sophistication.

With revenues breaking the $50 billion mark, a growing player base, and a policy climate that is gradually becoming more supportive, the industry is poised for steady expansion through 2030. The convergence of niche genre popularity, out‑of‑app monetisation models, regulatory reforms, premium hardware adoption, and generative AI integration creates a multifaceted growth engine that promises to keep China at the forefront of the global gaming landscape.